Revolution#
Probability governs the invisible scaffolding of human experience, the primordial state in which chaos reigns and control is a distant dream. Every newborn enters a world dictated by randomness—shapes, sounds, and movements colliding in an unfathomable storm of stimuli. Civilization, too, begins in this state, where survival is a function of luck, not mastery. The coin toss, the dice roll, the spinning roulette wheel—these are not mere metaphors but the fundamental logic of an unshaped reality. And yet, probability is never neutral. Even in its most primal form, it suggests an unseen structure, a set of governing laws that can be discerned, manipulated, and, eventually, bent to advantage. Those who merely accept probability as fate remain its prisoners; those who seek patterns, who anticipate rather than react, begin the journey toward mastery.
Deception is the first attempt to tilt probability. It is the child learning that a feigned cry can bring comfort, the hunter concealing his scent from the prey, the gambler masking his tell. Civilization’s first steps out of chaos involve not brute force but misdirection, the art of shaping what others perceive. In poker, the ability to suppress the markers of fear—the flicker of an eyelid, the twitch of a finger—is as valuable as the ability to read them in an adversary. Likewise, in warfare, in commerce, in politics, the winners are often those who do not simply roll the dice but rather convince others that the dice are weighted in their favor. The financial sector thrives on this principle, where valuations are shaped as much by belief as by balance sheets. Even history itself is an act of deception, the curation of narratives by victors who decide which probabilities were inevitable and which were merely accidents of fate.
Strategy emerges when deception meets worthy adversaries. Against an opponent who sees through the bluff, a new layer of complexity is required. To deceive the deceiver, one must evolve. Strategy is the art of maneuvering through a world of interlocking probabilities, shaping not only one’s own fate but the terrain on which battles are fought. The great generals, the economic titans, the political visionaries—none rely purely on deception. Instead, they introduce uncertainty where others seek certainty, forcing their adversaries into reactive positions. Clausewitz called it the “fog of war”; markets call it “asymmetric information”; game theorists model it as a series of competing equilibria, each strategy reshaping the opponent’s available moves. It is no longer enough to hide fear or predict an adversary’s play—one must alter the very structure of the game itself.
Fig. 22 What Exactly is Identity. A node may represent goats (in general) and another sheep (in general). But the identity of any specific animal (not its species) is a network. For this reason we might have a “black sheep”, distinct in certain ways – perhaps more like a goat than other sheep. But that’s all dull stuff. Mistaken identity is often the fuel of comedy, usually when the adversarial is mistaken for the cooperative or even the transactional.#
Yet strategy alone does not bring mastery. The repeated application of strategic moves, the iterative testing of tactics against reality, leads to the accumulation of knowledge. Unlike probability, which is raw and indifferent, or deception, which is ephemeral, knowledge endures. It is the distillation of failed strategies and successful gambits, the compression of countless trials into optimized pathways. History, at its best, serves this function—not merely as a record of past events but as a map of probabilities refined through experience. Yet knowledge is never evenly distributed. It is hoarded, guarded, weaponized. Those who control knowledge—through secrecy, through encoded languages, through artificial barriers of expertise—become the gatekeepers of power. Intelligence agencies operate as knowledge asymmetry machines, their purpose not simply to acquire information but to control the flow of what others may learn. Even within science, the friction between those who advance knowledge and those who seek to retain their own advantage is a defining force. Knowledge is no mere accumulation of facts but the strategic arrangement of insight, the architecture of understanding layered upon the ruins of discarded beliefs.
The cadence suggests that knowledge moves toward certainty, but certainty is the greatest deception of all. The human mind craves finality, a resolution that dissolves the ambiguity of probability, deception, and strategy. Yet certainty, in its most absolute form, does not exist. The legal verdict that declares guilt or innocence is a procedural certainty, not an existential truth. The ideological conviction that brooks no opposition is not wisdom but an act of willful blindness. Even in science, the certainty of one era becomes the folly of the next, as new data forces a reweighting of probability, a recalibration of what was once considered fact.
King Solomon, after all his wisdom, ends not with certainty but with Ecclesiastes—vanity, futility, the recognition that all knowledge bends back into the unknowable. Shakespeare, too, if Hamlet were his final statement, would have left us in the same unresolved space, the cadence breaking off into the unresolved. Yet Shakespeare did not end there. He moved beyond Hamlet, past the tragic, into the strange echoes of The Tempest, where knowledge transforms not into certainty but into relinquishment. To know the limits of knowledge, to see that probability never vanishes but merely reshapes itself in new forms—this is the final movement.
The cadence is never absolute; it is always subject to reweighting. Probability governs the opening, deception bends the odds, strategy refines the game, knowledge compresses past insights into pathways, but certainty? Certainty is the note that should resolve but does not, the chord that lingers just beyond resolution. The wisest, in the end, do not seek certainty but rather learn to play within the unresolved, finding meaning in the spaces between the notes.
Show code cell source
import numpy as np
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import networkx as nx
# Define the neural network fractal
def define_layers():
return {
'World': ['Cosmos', 'Externalities', "Trump", 'Value on Book', 'Trial', 'Error', ],
'Mode': ['Index of Market'],
'Agent': ['Brand Name', 'Conservative'],
'Space': ['Weaponize', 'Tokenize', 'Intellectual Property'],
'Time': ["Masculinity", 'Frontiers', 'Return-on-Investment', 'Civilization', 'Diversity']
}
# Assign colors to nodes
def assign_colors():
color_map = {
'yellow': ['Index of Market'],
'paleturquoise': ['Error', 'Conservative', 'Intellectual Property', 'Diversity'],
'lightgreen': ['Trial', 'Tokenize', 'Frontiers', 'Return-on-Investment', 'Civilization'],
'lightsalmon': [
"Trump", 'Value on Book', 'Brand Name',
'Weaponize', "Masculinity"
],
}
return {node: color for color, nodes in color_map.items() for node in nodes}
# Calculate positions for nodes
def calculate_positions(layer, x_offset):
y_positions = np.linspace(-len(layer) / 2, len(layer) / 2, len(layer))
return [(x_offset, y) for y in y_positions]
# Create and visualize the neural network graph
def visualize_nn():
layers = define_layers()
colors = assign_colors()
G = nx.DiGraph()
pos = {}
node_colors = []
# Add nodes and assign positions
for i, (layer_name, nodes) in enumerate(layers.items()):
positions = calculate_positions(nodes, x_offset=i * 2)
for node, position in zip(nodes, positions):
G.add_node(node, layer=layer_name)
pos[node] = position
node_colors.append(colors.get(node, 'lightgray'))
# Add edges (automated for consecutive layers)
layer_names = list(layers.keys())
for i in range(len(layer_names) - 1):
source_layer, target_layer = layer_names[i], layer_names[i + 1]
for source in layers[source_layer]:
for target in layers[target_layer]:
G.add_edge(source, target)
# Draw the graph
plt.figure(figsize=(12, 8))
nx.draw(
G, pos, with_labels=True, node_color=node_colors, edge_color='gray',
node_size=3000, font_size=9, connectionstyle="arc3,rad=0.2"
)
plt.title("Woza Ubone Ikristu, Umpherekezana", fontsize=15)
plt.show()
# Run the visualization
visualize_nn()


Fig. 23 Psilocybin is itself biologically inactive but is quickly converted by the body to psilocin, which has mind-altering effects similar, in some aspects, to those of other classical psychedelics. Effects include euphoria, hallucinations, changes in perception
, a distorted sense of time
, and perceived spiritual experiences. It can also cause adverse reactions such as nausea and panic attacks. In Nahuatl, the language of the Aztecs, the mushrooms were called teonanácatl—literally “divine mushroom.” Source: Wikipedia#